Fact Check: President Trump Exaggerates, Misstates Facts On Washington Crime – Read full story below.
President Donald Trump state Monday that his disposal volition return over patrol the state ‘s working capital metropolis in what the Republican state is an attempt to convey down feather rise offense rates in Washington , DC .
But President Trump overstate or misstate many of the fact surround populace safety in Washington , where the offense rate has fall in Holocene old age , piece departure out much of the linguistic context .
Here ‘s a closer expression at the fact :
PRESIDENT TRUMP : “ It ‘s acquiring worse , not acquiring better . It ‘s acquiring worse . ”
THE FACTS : Statistics print by Washington ‘s Metropolitan Police belie the president and show violent offense has drop in Washington since a post-pandemic extremum in 2023 .
Harmonize to the information , homicide , robbery , and burglary are down feather this twelvemonth when compare with this clip in 2024 . Overall , violent offense is down feather 26 % compare with this clip a twelvemonth ago .
A Holocene Department of Justice study show that violent offense is down feather 35 % since 2023 , return to the old tendency of decrease offense that put option the territory ‘s violent offense rate at its last in 30 old age .
That study show that when compare to 2023 Book of Numbers , homicide are down feather 32 % , arm carjacking are down feather 53 % and assault with a unsafe arm are down feather 27 % .
The metropolis ‘s statistics rich person semen into inquiry , nevertheless , after government open an probe into allegation that official change some of the information to brand it expression better . But Mayor Muriel Bowser base by the information and state Trump ‘s portrayal of anarchy is inaccurate .
“ We are not experience a spike in offense , ” Bowser state on MSNBC Sunday . “ In fact , we ‘re observation our offense Book of Numbers go down feather . ”
PRESIDENT TRUMP : “ Murders in 2023 reach the high rate , likely of all time . They say 25 old age , but they do n’t know what that agency because it just go dorsum 25 old age . ”
THE FACTS : In 2023 , the District of Columbia record 274 murder in a metropolis of astir 700,000 , its high figure in 20 old age . But the metropolis ‘s own offense statistics from the 1970s , 80s , and 90s , when the population was littler , show much higher Book of Numbers of homicide .
In 1990 , for case , the metropolis report 498 homicide . The following twelvemonth saw 509 , and 460 in 1992 .
Decade of statistics on offense in the metropolis are available on-line .
PRESIDENT TRUMP : “ The slaying rate in Washington today is higher than that of Bogota , Colombia , Mexico City . Some of the topographic point that you hear astir as beingness the worst topographic point on Earth , much higher . This is much higher . ”
THE FACTS : It ‘s true , but President Trump is n’t relation the whole narrative . Washington d.c. Department of Energy rich person a higher homicide rate than many other planetary city , include some that rich person historically be see insecure by many Americans . But Trump is departure out of import linguistic context : the US in full general see higher violent offense rates than many other state .
Piece Washington is one of America ‘s most unsafe big city , others rich person higher offense rates .
PRESIDENT TRUMP : “ This desperate populace safety crisis root from a populace safety crisis that is straight from the low failure of the metropolis ‘s local leading . The group left City Council adopt no hard cash bail bond . By the way , every topographic point in the state where you rich person no hard cash bail bond is a catastrophe . ”
THE FACTS : Data has not determine the impact of cashless bail bond on offense rates . Survey , many of which focusing on recidivism of defendant instead than offense rates , rich person show blend consequence .
A 2024 study print by the Brennan Center for Justice saw “ no statistically important human relationship ” betwixt bail bond reform and offense rates . The nonprofit organization look at offense rate information from 2015 done 2021 for 33 city across the US , 22 of which had establish some type of bail bond reform . Research worker use a statistical method to find if offense rates had diverge in those with reform and those without .
Mr Ames Grawert , the study ‘s co-author and senior advocate in the Brennan Center ‘s Justice Program , state this decision “ clasp true for tendency in offense overall or specifically violent offense . ”
Likewise , a 2023 paper print in the American Economic Journal found no grounds that hard cash bail bond aid guarantee defendant volition show up in tribunal or prevent offense among those who are let go of piece expect test .
“ I do n’t know of any valid survey confirm the President ‘s claim and would love to know what the Administration offer in support , ” Mr Kellen Funk , a prof at Columbia Law School who survey pretrial conference process and bail bond bonding , state The Associated Press in a July 25 fact bank check . “ In my professional person judgement , I ‘d phone call the claim provably false and inflammatory . ”
The Trump disposal has mention a 2022 study from the territory lawyer ‘s business office in Yolo County , California , that look at how a temp cashless bail bond system implement across the province to forestall COVID-19 outbreak in court and jail impact recidivism . It found that out of 595 person let go of betwixt April 2020 and May 2021 nether this system , 70.6 % be collar once again after they be let go of .
Mr Funk , reach on Monday , note that Washington , DC , reform its hard cash bail bond system in the 1990s .
“ What the President is declare to be an ‘ exigency ‘ is a system that has function much better than cash-based bail bond system for about 30 old age now , include during the Holocene historical low in report offense in the District , ” he state , add that “ the DC bail bond system has serve as a theoretical account for bipartizan bail bond reform attempt in New Jersey and New Mexico over the past times decennary . ”
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